UFC Fight Night 111 predictions, preview, and analysis

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is messing with the time zones again as it uncorks another round of face-punching action this Saturday (June 17, 2017) at the UFC Fight Night 111 mixed martial arts (MMA) event inside Singapore Indoor Stadium on the UFC Fight Pass digital network.

It’s a nice break from this madness.

Headlining the overseas event will be former women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm, as she takes on ex-division No. 1 contender Bethe Correia. Elsewhere on the card, former lightweight titleholder Rafael dos Anjos tries his luck at welterweight against ex-Strikeforce 170-pound champion Tarec Saffiedine.

All it costs is an online subscription and a reliable alarm clock.

Breaking down the “Prelims” portion of the UFC Fight Night 111 fight card is the always-amiable Patty Stumberg. See his take on this weekend’s digital wars here and here. For his breakdown of the Singapore odds and betting lines click here.

I’m here to mop up with the four-fight main card, so let’s get to it.

135 lbs.: Holly “The Preacher’s Daughter” Holm (10-3) vs. Bethe “Pitbull” Correia (10-2-1)

Nostradumbass predicts: Bethe Correia’s gameplan is so elementary, I would reckon it’s scribbled on construction paper with a box of crayons, complete with two female stick figures and a poorly-drawn arrow that says “punch here.”

But hey, this is MMA.

That means even the sloppiest of fighters can win rounds (and entire fights) on volume alone, because if you play the percentages, the human body is an easy target, even for a stubby bantamweight like Correia.

It helps to be durable and “Pitbull” — save for her faceplant against Ronda Rousey — can usually absorb most incoming fire without batting an eyelash. Conversely, that same approach is why she ends up with so many close decisions.

Not this time.

Some fans are shocked at how far Holly Holm has fallen since her moment in the sun, a 2015 drubbing over the aforementioned Rousey, but her UFC fights have historically been close and her recent performances have not been unlike those that preceded “Rowdy.”

Watch clips from her snoozers against Raquel Pennington and Marion Reneau.

Fortunately for “The Preacher’s Daughter,” she enters this bout as an elite striker against an opponent who only thinks she’s an elite striker. So not only will the confident Correia charge forward thinking she can bang, she’ll give Holm — a surgical counterstriker — the path of least resistance.

It’s not a question of whether or not Holm will win, it’s a question of whether or not she’ll score the finish.

Holm is better everywhere. She’s the better striker, the better athlete, and has more experience against elite fighters. She’ll never be the best 135-pound fighter on the planet, but she doesn’t need to be in order to win this fight.

Final prediction: Holm def. Correia by technical knockout

265 lbs.: Andrei “Pitbull” Arlovski (25-14, 1 NC) vs. Marcin “Tybur” Tybura (15-2)

Nostradumbass predicts: Andrei Arlovski has been knocked out 10 times in his MMA career. Let that sink in for a moment. Sure, he walks and talks fine at the moment, but CTE is not the sort of thing that adheres to a specific timetable.

In addition, “The Pitbull” has now dropped four straight. The only thing keeping him afloat in the twilight of his career — aside from name value — is the fact that he’s been losing to former champions and top heavyweight contenders.

Marcin Tybura is neither.

The Pole’s 15-2 record looks impressive on paper, but once you start examining his list of opponents, populated by such dazzling superstars as the 1-6 Andrzej Kosecki, or the 13-17 Denis Komkin, you get an idea of what the international scene offers in terms of competition.

Not that he’s a tomato can, but against a storied veteran like Arlovski?

Watching Tybura go down on points to the mustached Timothy Johnson — which isn’t exactly ancient history at April 2016 — does not give me the confidence that he has the speed or agility to outwork the hard-hitting Belarusian.

Arlovski is the better striker, has great takedown defense, and a wealth of experience. In order to lose this fight, “The Pitbull” would have to lumber forward with his chin up and hands down.

When has he ever done that?!?

Final prediction: Arlovski def. Tybura by unanimous decision

170 lbs.: Colby “Chaos” Covington (11-1) vs. Dong Hyun “Stun Gun” Kim (22-3-1, 1 NC)

Nostradumbass predicts: I’m still aghast at the lopsided betting line for this welterweight showdown. I’ve seen select sportsbooks with Colby Covington as high as a -345 favorite over the venerable Dong Hyun Kim.

Based on what?

A decision win over Bryan Barberena? There’s a reason Covington isn’t ranked in the top 15 — where Kim comfortably resides at No. 7 — and that’s because he’s yet to face a fighter of “Stun Gun’s” caliber.

In addition, “Chaos” has just one knockout in 15 wins, relying on his wrestling pedigree to either outpoint or handily submit overmatched foes. Kim built an entire career on that exact gameplan and nobody does it better.

Covington included.

The South Korean has just three losses in UFC. One came to the current champion, while the other two came against division title contenders. He also differs from the Oregonian in that he has nine knockouts in 22 wins, which makes the judoka dangerous on his feet, as well as on the ground.

His striking is hardly a work of art, but he still gets it done.

Covington may be younger, fresher, and busier on the feet, but fighting Kim is like trying to push your way through a brick wall. “Stun Gun” has already faced — and beaten — fighters who are far superior to his Fight Pass foe.

Since both skill sets are likely to cancel each other out, we could be faced with an ugly bout. Fortunately for Kim, winning ugly is still winning.

Final prediction: Kim def. Covington by split decision

170 lbs.: Rafael dos Anjos (25-9) vs. Tarec “Sponge” Saffiedine (16-6)

Nostradumbass predicts: Tarec Saffiedine has not finished a fight in over seven years across the span of 11 fights. I like to reveal that statistic nice and early, because it sets the tone for the remainder of this 170-pound breakdown.

“The Sponge” got his nickname from his innate ability to absorb whatever he was taught. If that’s the case, then perhaps he should seek out new trainers, because his formidable stand-up and sneaky submissions have peaked under existing leadership.

Or maybe he’s just not top-10 material.

The fact that Saffiedine is ranked No. 11, despite a 1-3 record over the last three years, tells you a lot about the fragility of the welterweight division, where a top-heavy cluster clogs up the welterweight spout.

Rafael dos Anjos, like Donald Cerrone before him, should find early success.

All of the skills that made him great at lightweight will make him even greater at 170 pounds. He will undoubtedly be undersized in most contests, but then again, he was far from a giant in his former stomping grounds, and the title did not elude him.

It must have been a brutal weight cut to jump ship after a remarkable 10-3 run over the last five years. Dos Anjos is good — and sometimes great — in every facet of MMA. He can strike, grapple, and hustle for 25 minutes straight.

He only loses to better fighters, never to himself.

Is the leg-kicking Saffiedine a better fighter? He may have the edge, technically speaking, in one or two areas. But his inability to gel those skill sets and present a complete package, or show any sort of killer instinct, is why he’ll come up short tomorrow night in Singapore.

Final prediction: Dos Anjos def. Saffiedine by unanimous decision

There you have it.

MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Fight Night 111 fight card on fight night (click here), starting with the UFC Fight Pass “Prelims” matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 4 a.m. ET, before the UFC Fight Pass main card start time at 8 a.m. ET.

For much more on this weekend’s UFC Fight Pass event click here.

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No contest? Erick Silva to appeal Yancy Medeiros loss at UFC 212

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) welterweight veteran Erick Silva will appeal his technical knockout loss to Yancy Medeiros, which took place at the UFC 212 pay-per-view (PPV) event earlier this month in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Watch the video highlights here.

“It’s the second time a referee made a bad call for an Erick Silva fight in Brazil,” manager Gilberto Faria told MMA Fighting. “We definitely need CABMMA (Comissão Atlética Brasileira de MMA) to take a deep look on this matter.”

The first time happened here.

After a competitive first round, Silva was stung by Medeiros in the second stanza, but appeared to get his bearings just as soon as he crashed to the canvas. Nevertheless, referee Eduardo Herdy called a stop to the action at the 2:01 mark.

Read our full fight recap here.

Faria will reportedly appeal the decision early next week in search of a “no contest.”

Stay tuned.

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Brendan Schaub will bet $100,000 that Conor McGregor wins ROUNDS against Floyd Mayweather Jr.

Rounds … PLURAL.

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) lightweight champion Conor McGregor will cross over to the world of boxing and fight Floyd Mayweather Jr. on pay-per-view (PPV) this August in Las Vegas, Nevada (full details here).

Longtime boxing personality Max Kellerman is not impressed.

“I’m a big McGregor fan and if he had been boxing this whole time, maybe we’d be having a different story,” Kellerman told ESPN. “Let me tell you what’s going to happen, Conor McGregor will not land a single punch on Floyd Mayweather. Not one punch.”

Kellerman must have been watching this video.

Not long after the fight was announced, oddsmakers flooded the sportsbooks with all the relevant numbers (see them here), though former UFC heavyweight Brendan Schaub is making a few prop bets of his own.

“Let me tell you! I guarantee Conor lands not only a punch but wins rounds,” Schaub wrote on Instagram. “Matter of fact, I would be willing to bet $ 100k on it. Would you Max Kellerman?”

Vegas Dave … where you at?

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Holly Holm vs Bethe Correia staredown video from UFC Singapore weigh ins

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to Singapore this weekend (Sat., June 17, 2017) when the UFC Fight Night 111 mixed martial arts (MMA) event comes to Singapore Indoor Stadium on the UFC Fight Pass digital network.

For complete UFC Singapore weigh-in results click here.

Headlining the overseas event will be former women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm, as she takes on ex-division No. 1 contender Bethe Correia.

Watch them face off at Thursday’s weigh ins in the embedded video below:

And the co-main event between Andrei Arlovski and Marcin Tybura:

Nothing left to do now except fight.

MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Fight Night 111 fight card on fight night (click here), starting with the UFC Fight Pass “Prelims” matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 4 a.m. ET, before the UFC Fight Pass main card start time at 8 a.m. ET.

To see the rest of the UFC Fight Night 111 fight card and line up for “Holm vs. Correia” click here.

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Dana White has a message for all the UFC fighters ‘crying’ about Conor McGregor: SHUT UP!

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) has been criticized by its own fighters for the way it treats reigning lightweight champion Conor McGregor. Former 155-pound kingpin Frankie Edgar, one of the most loyal combatants on the entire roster, claims the “C” in UFC stands for “Conor,” because the trash-talking Irishman gets to call the shots (read those comments here).

Dana White’s response? SHUT UP!

“I got all these guys crying about ‘Oh Conor this and Conor that,’“ White told media members on yesterday’s media conference call. “Shut up. Step up and fight like Conor McGregor fights. Take the big fights when someone falls out on four or five days notice.”

McGregor was able to put the promotion on hold last summer when he didn’t get the deal was looking for ahead of UFC 200. Then after his historic title win at UFC 205, “Notorious” announced a 10-month leave to handle his newborn baby.

His first fight back, however, will not even take place in the same sport.

That’s because McGregor was able to land a high-profile “Money” fight against undefeated pugilist Floyd Mayweather Jr., a boxing bout that goes down Aug. 26 inside T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

And if you thought Edgar and Co. were miffed before…

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Dana White confirms promoters will jack up PPV price for Mayweather vs. McGregor ‘super fight’

If you want a super fight, you’re going to have to pay a super price.

That was the message from Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) President Dana White, who helped negotiate the Aug. 26 pay-per-view (PPV) event featuring his lightweight champion, Conor McGregor, crossing over to the “sweet science” to box undefeated pugilist Floyd Mayweather Jr. in Las Vegas, Nevada.

From yesterday’s media conference call:

When you talk about superfights, this is a superfight. Two different guys from two different sports going in and putting it on the line. You can’t charge what you normally charge for a pay-per-view, I get it. And saying there was pushback on the Mayweather vs. Pacquiao superfight? There was anything but, it was the biggest fight ever in the history of PPV. And as much of a clusterfuck as I said the ticket situation was, people were rabid for those tickets. I bought 10 tickets for that fight, that’s the worst thing about it.

Showtime is the exclusive distributor of Floyd’s fights, but they were kind enough to open the gates and let us do some stuff too. We’re gonna do UFC Embedded like we do for our fights, and a couple other things. But at the end of the day, Showtime is running this show. I’m gonna promote it though all of my inventory and everything I’m doing, but as far as actually producing TV shows, Showtime is the exclusive … but they’ve been kind and opened the window to let us have fun and do some things too.

There is a reason Showtime gave Mayweather a “record deal.”

UFC will help promote the upcoming showdown, which is expected to cost at or around the same price as what combat sports fans paid for Mayweather’s snoozer against Manny Pacquiao back in mid-2015.

Spoiler: It wasn’t cheap.

Then again, someone has to cover these exorbitant salaries, so it may as well be the suckers who pony up for this circus.

Sound familiar?

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UFC Singapore preview: Rafael dos Anjos looking for fresh start at 170 pounds

Former Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) lightweight titleholder Rafael dos Anjos is set to make his 170-pound debut against ex-Strikeforce welterweight kingpin Tarec Saffiedine at this weekend’s UFC Fight Night 111 mixed martial arts (MMA) event, set for Sat., June 17, 2017 inside Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore.

Red-panty night feels like a lifetime ago.

Dos Anjos (25-9) is abandoning his post at 155 pounds — rather hastily — after coming up short in back-to-back defeats to Eddie Alvarez and Tony Ferguson, with the former costing the Brazilian his division crown.

While the move up to welterweight was a surprising one, especially considering his 10-1 run from 2012-15, the Brazilian, 32, has publicly loathed his cut to the lightweight division, which undoubtedly got harder after saying goodbye to his twenties.

“For how much I’m making right now, it’s not worth it for me to make 155 (pounds),” Dos Anjos told MMA Junkie. “If it’s a superfight and I’ll make more money, I’ll do it. But (for) how much I’m making right now, it’s not worth it to put my body at that level of stress.”

That said, the field is getting increasingly crowded at 170 pounds.

Saffiedine (16-6) — who struggled to stay healthy after crossing over from the ranks of Strikeforce — is also coming off a pair of recent losses inside the cage, getting outworked by Rick Story and Dong Hyun Kim to close out his 2016 fight campaign.

This might be a do-or-die situation for the Belgian brawler.

Who ya’ got?

MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Fight Night 111 fight card on fight night (click here), starting with the UFC Fight Pass “Prelims” matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 4 a.m. ET, before the UFC Fight Pass main card start time at 8 a.m. ET.

For much more on this weekend’s UFC Fight Pass event click here.

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Midnight Mania! Boxing champion Anthony Joshua clowns Stipe Miocic’s bid for the McGregor-Mayweather undercard

Bringing you the weird and wild from the world of MMA each and every weeknight

Welcome to Midnight Mania! Tonight we’ve got Stipe Miocic getting clowned by Anthony Joshua, the only possible reaction to Dillon Danis offering to box Amir Khan, Dong Hyun Kim’s hilarious facial expressions, knockouts, and much more.


Rejected

Stipe Miocic wanted in on the high-stakes MMA vs. boxing action currently happening between Floyd Mayweather and Conor McGregor. He wasn’t alone, of course. Jose Aldo, Anderson Silva, and Jimi Manuwa, among others, have also lobbied for bouts with top boxers. Stipe wanted a place on the undercard of the Mayweather-McGregor card, which will be all boxing. Stipe went for the biggest of them all, calling out heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua. An emerging superstar in the UK, Joshua recently won the title in an instant classic against Vladimir Klitschko. Stipe was as respectful as possible in his callout, as he always is.

Joshua’s reply? Not so much.

In a move that illustrates just how and why McGregor is alone in getting this promotional opportunity, Anthony Joshua copied McGregor’s words to Jeremy Stephens at that UFC 205 press conference:

“Who the fook is that guy”

There goes that.

The fight is ludicrous under boxing rules, of course, but less ludicrous than McGregor-Mayweather. Miocic’s primary skillset is also his boxing, and he has four first- round knockouts in his last four bouts. He even has amateur experience boxing in the Golden Gloves program. Like McGregor, he stands no actual chance against a champion like Anthony Joshua under strict boxing rules. (It’s no surprise Sylvester Stallone is rooting for McGregor– he faces a tougher challenge than Rocky ever did) Unlike McGregor, Miocic is not a draw. He lacks McGregor’s bombast and flair for the dramatic; Miocic is a humble everyman from Ohio, who still has a job as a firefighter.

It lays bare what this fight is really about- the power of celebrity. Just as in modern politics, actual ability or accomplishments of an individual means nothing. The power to draw an emotional reaction from an audience, good or bad, means everything.

A reminder of what 49 previous opponents, including precise power punchers like Canelo Alvarez, have failed to do to Floyd:


Insomnia

Interesting analysis on McGregor and Mayweather’s mechanics- although I’m not at all sure how they arrived at those numbers.

Yeah no

Dong Hyun Kim’s facial expressions and body language are fantastic.

MMA fighters and hunting rifles are a natural fit, I suppose, especially with the nickname “Killashaw”

Tony Ferguson wants the lightweight belt he feels he deserves.

There is a new MMA journalist’s association, and I’m curious to see where it goes.

Cyborg congratulates Megan Anderson… and also throws some shade her way.

Yancy running duct tape experiments- either that, or his kid is in time out.

Weight cutting buddies

Justin Scoggins is back at flyweight after a failed weight cut forced him up to bantamweight

This should be fun


Slips, Rips, and KO Clips

This is production value right here.

Sokoudjou goes down hard

This guy posts clips as part of his tape study on events- here’s a couple previewing guys fighting this weekend at UFC Singapore.


Podcasts and Video

What we know about Mayweather-McGregor

Holly Holm’s kicking technique, explained by resident expert Andrew Richardson

Flyin Brian J previews UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Correia

Promotional Malpractice Live Chat

Stay woke, Maniacs!

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Dana White predicts Mayweather vs McGregor fight to top 5 million PPV buys

How many PPVs is the Aug. 26, 2017, Conor McGregor vs. Floyd Mayweather boxing match going to move? Dana White is betting on a lot.

It’s all Floyd Mayweather vs. Conor McGregor, all the time. And what can we say? It’s by far the biggest MMA news for the year, even though it’s a boxing match! The interest in the already hyped fight has shot through the roof since the bout was signed into reality, and it’s tracking to be a much larger event than anyone, including Dana White, initially expected.

White was on Canadian sports channel TSN earlier to build up the fight and try to convince people that his man Conor McGregor has a legit shot at beating the pound for pound greatest boxer in the world.

“I don’t see Floyd Mayweather as this indestructible, undefeatable guy,” White said. “Is he slick? Can he try to stay away from Conor? Can he move? Can he roll with the punches? Can he do all that? Absolutely. But in a 12 round fight, Conor McGregor will at least hit him a couple of times.”

Eh, you’re gonna have to do better than that.

“Floyd Mayweather’s going to fight at 154 pounds against a monster!” he exclaimed. “Conor McGregor is huge.I don’t think people are really going to realize — you know, all this talk about, all the guys saying ‘Floyd’s going to destroy him! Floyd’s going to destroy him! Wait til they meet face to face for the first time and square off, and people see the difference in the size between Conor McGregor and Floyd Mayweather.”

Now we’re getting somewhere.

During the interview, the TSN anchor asked him what he thought of Vegas odds on the pay-per-view sales, which had an over / under of 4.99 million buys.

“I’ll take the over on that,” White said.

If Dana keeps spinning McGregor’s chances effectively for the next two months, he could very well be right on that bet.

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Sylvester Stallone is rooting for ‘real life Rocky’ Conor McGregor

Floyd Mayweather vs. Conor McGregor goes down on August 26th in Las Vegas, which means we’re gonna have over two months of experts arguing about how badly Conor McGregor is going to lose. So just to switch things up a little, why don’t we take it outside the realm of punditry and over to the celebrities! Don’t worry, we won’t go full Meryl Streep on you … in this case, we’ve got (fictional) boxing legend Sylvester Stallone sharing his thoughts on the fight.

“You know who’s gonna win. You know who’s gonna win!” he told TMZ Sports while leaving a restaurant. “I only got the underdog. It’s great for boxing. [McGregor]’s a real life Rocky. But then again … I live in fantasy.”

“[Mayweather]’s gonna get hurt,” he said with a wink. “Nah, I’m only kidding. Let’s put it this way guys, it’s never been done before. Never been done before! So you never know.”

It is true that Conor has never boxed, let alone boxed Floyd, so we don’t have empirical evidence that Mayweather will undoubtedly smash McGregor. But we can take Floyd’s long list of wins over the world’s best boxers and compare them against Conor’s performance against … Nate Diaz? Chris van Heerden? Logically, he doesn’t have much of a chance. Fortunately for the people making money off this fight, Sly ain’t the only guy who enjoys living in fantasy.

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